Research
Analysis and frameworks for institutional space finance.
Why engineering outputs don't translate to credit decisions, and what institutional investors need instead.
Data architecture, risk quantification, and portfolio analytics. The framework for pricing space infrastructure at institutional scale.
Institutional-grade research available to qualified investors, lenders, and insurers.
Seven-factor multiplicative risk model for orbital infrastructure. Covers RFS, TVO, FDR, DRS, RDS, EPS, and CGF across LEO, MEO, GEO, and Cislunar regimes.
Three-model credit engine for space infrastructure operators. DSCR-based project finance, growth-stage cash runway, and sovereign graduated PD architectures.
30-case historical validation across negative and positive outcomes. Recall 1.00, F1 0.91, with hybrid override architecture and false positive analysis.
Coverage across 881 assets and 52 operators. Risk distribution, credit band analysis, and sector-level default probability assessments.
Detailed methodology paper
Prior calibration and posterior inference for satellite default
Available to qualified institutional investors, lenders, and insurers.
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